5 4 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
1305 6 Strength Momentum |
1151 64.3(4) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/24/15 | at Del Norte | 0.000 | 798 | W 8- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1471 | 97% | |
08/26/15 | Rio Rancho | 0.000 | 1315 | W 2- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1350 | 52% | |
08/29/15 | Atrisco Heritage ! | 0.000 | 1350 | W 4- 0 | Better (+4) | 1519 | 45% | |
09/02/15 | at Eldorado | 0.001 | 1150 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1287 | 72% | |
09/04/15 | Albuquerque Academy !! | 0.001 | 1495 | W 3- 0 | Better (+5) | 1541 | 23% | |
09/09/15 | at Albuquerque ? | 0.003 | 1422 | L 0- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1223 | 28% | |
09/15/15 | Cibola ?? | 0.012 | 1232 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-2) | 1209 | 66% | |
09/18/15 | at Mayfield | 0.017 | 854 | W 3- 1 | Expected (-2) | 1189 | 95% | |
09/19/15 | at Las Cruces | 0.023 | 1152 | T 0- 0 | Worse (-1) | 1238 | 71% | |
09/24/15 | Manzano | 0.040 | 915 | W 3- 0 | Expected (-1) | 1251 | 94% | |
09/29/15 | at Highland | 0.031 | 917 | W 6- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1425 | 92% | |
10/01/15 | at Eldorado | 0.100 | 1150 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1337 | 72% | |
10/02/15 | at St. Pius | 0.097 | 1071 | W 4- 1 | Expected (+1) | 1348 | 82% | |
10/06/15 | Sandia | 0.186 | 1278 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1382 | 58% | |
10/13/15 | at Manzano | 0.175 | 915 | W 5- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1372 | 93% | |
10/15/15 | Highland | 0.405 | 917 | W 5- 3 | Expected (-2) | 1201 | 94% | |
10/21/15 | Eldorado | 0.591 | 1150 | W 2- 0 | Expected (0) | 1318 | 77% | |
10/22/15 | at Sandia | 0.637 | 1278 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1351 | 51% | |
11/05/15 | * Cibola | 0.983 | 1232 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 1309 | 63% | |
11/06/15 | * Atrisco Heritage | 0.951 | 1350 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1267 | 42% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals La Cueva actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1151, while
La Cueva's "weighted playing strength" is 1303
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)
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