2015 Season results for La Cueva (BV,2-6A)

5   4   1
Rank in
State, Class, District
1305     6
Strength     Momentum
1151   64.3(4)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  16W   3L   1T 
District  8W   0L   0T 
Expected  16:   2+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/24/15 at Del Norte 0.000798W 8- 0 Expected (+3)1471 97%
08/26/15 Rio Rancho 0.0001315W 2- 1 Expected (+1)1350 52%
08/29/15 Atrisco Heritage ! 0.0001350W 4- 0 Better (+4)1519 45%
09/02/15 at Eldorado 0.0011150W 1- 0 Expected (0)1287 72%
09/04/15 Albuquerque Academy !! 0.0011495W 3- 0 Better (+5)1541 23%
09/09/15 at Albuquerque ? 0.0031422L 0- 3 Expected (-2)1223 28%
09/15/15 Cibola ?? 0.0121232L 0- 1 Worse (-2)1209 66%
09/18/15 at Mayfield 0.017854W 3- 1 Expected (-2)1189 95%
09/19/15 at Las Cruces 0.0231152T 0- 0 Worse (-1)1238 71%
09/24/15 Manzano 0.040915W 3- 0 Expected (-1)1251 94%
09/29/15 at Highland 0.031917W 6- 0 Expected (+2)1425 92%
10/01/15 at Eldorado 0.1001150W 2- 0 Expected (+1)1337 72%
10/02/15 at St. Pius 0.0971071W 4- 1 Expected (+1)1348 82%
10/06/15 Sandia 0.1861278W 2- 0 Expected (+2)1382 58%
10/13/15 at Manzano 0.175915W 5- 0 Expected (+1)1372 93%
10/15/15 Highland 0.405917W 5- 3 Expected (-2)1201 94%
10/21/15 Eldorado 0.5911150W 2- 0 Expected (0)1318 77%
10/22/15 at Sandia 0.6371278W 1- 0 Expected (+1)1351 51%
11/05/15 * Cibola 0.9831232W 1- 0 Expected (0)1309 63%
11/06/15 * Atrisco Heritage 0.9511350L 1- 2 Expected (-1)1267 42%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals La Cueva actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1151, while
La Cueva's "weighted playing strength" is 1303
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.65 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/17/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 11/07/15)

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